Simba Arati Signals ODM’s Willingness for 2027 Alliance with Ruto if UDA Allies Defect

Simba Arati, the Governor of Kisii County and a prominent figure within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), has made headlines by signaling the party’s openness to forming a political alliance with President William Ruto ahead of the 2027 general elections. In a surprising twist, Arati suggested that ODM could consider working with Ruto if members of his United Democratic Alliance (UDA) were to abandon him.

This statement, which has sparked discussions across the political spectrum, underscores the fluid and often unpredictable nature of Kenyan politics. ODM, led by Raila Odinga, has traditionally been one of the fiercest opponents of Ruto and his political allies. However, Arati’s remarks indicate that ODM is not ruling out any possibilities as it strategizes for the next election cycle.

Arati’s comments came during a public address where he emphasized that ODM is committed to ensuring that the country remains stable and united. He hinted that if UDA members were to desert Ruto, ODM would be ready to step in and provide the support he might need to maintain his leadership position. This proposition is seen by many as a strategic move aimed at keeping ODM relevant and influential in the face of changing political dynamics.

The idea of a potential ODM-Ruto alliance is particularly intriguing given the history of rivalry between Ruto and Odinga. Both leaders have been on opposite sides of the political divide for years, with Odinga having contested the presidential election results multiple times, often with Ruto on the opposing side. The prospect of them working together, even conditionally, is a testament to the pragmatic nature of Kenyan politics, where alliances are often formed based on the prevailing circumstances rather than ideological alignment.

Political analysts have noted that Arati’s statement could be a tactical move to create uncertainty within UDA ranks. By suggesting that ODM is open to an alliance with Ruto, Arati may be attempting to sow discord within UDA, encouraging its members to rethink their loyalty to Ruto. If UDA members start questioning Ruto’s leadership, it could weaken his position ahead of the 2027 elections.

On the other hand, this could also be a genuine offer of collaboration. ODM, having been out of power for several election cycles, might see an alliance with Ruto as a way to regain influence and possibly secure a share of the government. For Ruto, such an alliance could help consolidate his power base, especially if he faces defections within his party.

The political landscape in Kenya is known for its unpredictability, and Arati’s comments have only added to the speculation about what might happen as the country heads towards the 2027 elections. Whether or not an ODM-Ruto alliance materializes, the possibility itself highlights the importance of strategic alliances in Kenyan politics, where today’s rivals can quickly become tomorrow’s allies.